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Dynamic Inference of Personal Preference for Next-to-Purchase Items by Using Online Shopping Data

Authors

Yun-Rui Li1, Ting-Kai Hwang2 and Shi-Chung Chang1, 1National Taiwan University, Taiwan and 2Ming Chuan University, Taiwan

Abstract

With more and more people shopping online, companies deal with customer data input not only in high volume but also dynamic. In order to attract target customers more effectively and to provide customers with more personalized services, how to automatically extract personal preference from the real-time data and make real-time recommendation has been growing in importance for businesses in the competitive modern society. Current data analysis methods for online shopping recommendation largely rely on historical transaction record. Analyses have indicating that next items a customer would like to buy not only depend on one’s past historical records but on the item currently being put into the shopping cart. This paper designs an engine to combine each customer’s past transaction and current shopping cart data to dynamically infer one’s preference for the next items. The design, Transaction-Data Based Real-time Preference Inference Engine (TRPIE), consists of two innovative ideas. The first exploits the purchasing sequence information and turns one’s purchase history into a temporal series of data, where a customer’s dynamic purchasing behaviour information lies. The second is a design of a two-layer Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) for extracting personal purchasing preference pattern from the temporal series of data to infer preference of next items. A reference implementation of TRPIE design integrates existing tools such as Keras, tensorflowTM, sklearnTM, and MlxtendTM. Test results over real data from 1,374 people show that prediction accuracy has doubled that obtained by a basket analysis method, which ignores sequentiality of purchasing items.

Keywords

Online shopping, transaction data,purchasing sequence, dynamic preference inference, re-current neural network.

Full Text  Volume 8, Number 14